Monterrey 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.68
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.01
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.04
-32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.2 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.10.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-3 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
09.04.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.07.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 3-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-1
AWAY Club America
1.10 xG 0.63
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
592 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 16
47 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Club America shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Monterrey had 71% of the ball to Club America's 29%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monterrey and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Club America?

Monterrey 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 43%, draw 25%, Club America 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →