Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.22/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
-3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
30.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.04.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
03.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-4 HT 1-3 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-0
AWAY Club Guarani
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Club Guarani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 54% of the ball to Club Guarani's 46%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.83 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 41%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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