Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.31
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
20.2 Crosses 12.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zamora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2025 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.10.2024 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 3-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-5 HT 1-4 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.09.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-1
AWAY Zamora
1.84 xG 0.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
246 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Zamora 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 41% of the ball to Zamora's 59%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.84 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Estudiantes De Merida's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 43%, draw 29%, Zamora 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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