Bedford Town 1-1 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -30%
1.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.66
-15% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Royston Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
02.01.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town and Royston Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Royston Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bedford Town and 2.50 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Royston Town?

Bedford Town 1-1 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 36%, draw 25%, Royston Town 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royston Town)
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