Poole Town 1-0 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.09/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.06
+40% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Taunton Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2021 Taunton Town Taunton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Taunton Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Taunton Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Poole Town and 1.50 for Taunton Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Taunton Town?

Poole Town 1-0 Taunton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taunton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 32%, draw 24%, Taunton Town 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Taunton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taunton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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