Rylands 3-4 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rylands EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +1%
1.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.92
-7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rylands
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
22.08.2023 Rylands Rylands 2-0 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
07.01.2023 Rylands Rylands 0-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
20.08.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 3-1 HT 2-1 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Rylands vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United squeezed past Rylands 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rylands at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ashton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rylands and 1.50 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Rylands vs Ashton United?

Rylands 3-4 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rylands vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rylands win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rylands 44%, draw 24%, Ashton United 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rylands) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rylands) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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