United of Manchester 0-1 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.71/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.70
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Worksop Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 4-0 HT 2-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
12.08.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-0 HT 2-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United of Manchester
0-1
AWAY Worksop Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town squeezed past United of Manchester 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Worksop Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, United of Manchester had 55% of the ball to Worksop Town's 45%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for United of Manchester and 2.00 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Worksop Town?

United of Manchester 0-1 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 38%, draw 23%, Worksop Town 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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