Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.39/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.09
+20% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
15.6 Crosses 12.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.68 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
311 Passes 162
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
09.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
09.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
23.07.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.07 xG 0.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
367 Passes 271
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Deportivo Pereira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.07 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.50 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 42%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pereira 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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