Bergantinos 0-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
48%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -76% / -76%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
24.07.2024 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol HAZ
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol edged past Bergantinos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Ferrol as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Racing Ferrol?

Bergantinos 0-1 Racing Ferrol in the Friendlies on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 24%, draw 25%, Racing Ferrol 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Ferrol), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ BTTS No
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