Villarreal II 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+28% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
12.12.2021 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
25.04.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
08.12.2019 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
15.12.2013 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
10.03.2012 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II nicked a narrow win over Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Villarreal II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Villarreal II and 0.83 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Villarreal II 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Friendlies on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 47%, draw 24%, Gimnastic Tarragona 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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