Talavera CF 0-2 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 48%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.59
-25% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +109%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Alcorcon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
06.11.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-2 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
0-2
AWAY Alcorcon
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon saw off Talavera CF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alcorcon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Talavera CF had 44% of the ball to Alcorcon's 56%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Talavera CF and 1.50 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Alcorcon?

Talavera CF 0-2 Alcorcon in the Friendlies on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 28%, draw 27%, Alcorcon 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
13 Aug 2025
00:00 UCAM Murcia vs Intercity Alicante Analysis →
19:00 Athletic Bilbao II vs Arenas de Getxo Analysis →
19:00 Südtirol vs Virtus Bolzano Analysis →
20:00 Villarreal II vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →
20:00 Real Madrid II vs Valencia II Analysis →
20:30 Bergantinos vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →