UCAM Murcia 1-2 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 32%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

UCAM Murcia 1-2 Intercity Alicante in the Friendlies on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 42%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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