Kerry 1-4 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.12/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.51
-6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +85%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cork City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
26.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
03.05.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
16.02.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerry
1-4
AWAY Cork City
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City ran out comfortable winners over Kerry 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerry had 46% of the ball to Cork City's 54%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kerry and 1.67 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Cork City?

Kerry 1-4 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kerry 25%, draw 26%, Cork City 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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