Boulogne vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boulogne v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals
Boulogne vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Boulogne
FR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Le Mans FC
FR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Boulogne
FR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Le Mans FC
FR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Le Mans FC
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Boulogne
FR2
Boulogne 3-2 Le Mans FC — Actual Match Statistics
Boulogne squeezed past Le Mans FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Le Mans FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boulogne had 41% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 59%, shots finished 12-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Boulogne and 0.83 for Le Mans FC.
What was the final score of Boulogne vs Le Mans FC?
Boulogne 3-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Le Mans FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 32%, draw 28%, Le Mans FC 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.