Villefranche 0-1 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.09
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
9%
4.43
X/2
14%
6.55
X/X
17%
3.89
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
5.33
2/X
4%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-1
AWAY Aubagne
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne edged past Villefranche 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Villefranche had 57% of the ball to Aubagne's 43%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Aubagne?

Villefranche 0-1 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 34%, draw 27%, Aubagne 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubagne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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