Sochaux 2-3 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Sep 2024

Sochaux
2-3 HT 1-0
Nancy
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Sochaux vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.28
1/2
11%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.1
X/2
11%
6.24
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sochaux v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.52/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sochaux vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nancy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.65 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 4-1 HT 2-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
03.11.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
09.04.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
30.10.2021 Nancy Nancy 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
10.04.2021 Nancy Nancy 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
20.01.2021 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FRK
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy squeezed past Sochaux 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nancy found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sochaux and 0.33 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Nancy?

Sochaux 2-3 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 37%, draw 28%, Nancy 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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