Chateauroux 4-3 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.42
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
9%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.41
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Quevilly
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
328 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.09.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-2 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux edged past Quevilly 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chateauroux found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Quevilly?

Chateauroux 4-3 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 39%, draw 26%, Quevilly 35%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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