Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kawasaki Frontale v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
4-0
HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
3-1
HT 3-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Kawasaki Frontale nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 54% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 46%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.67 to 2.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu?
Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 59%, draw 23%, Sagan Tosu 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.