Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagan Tosu v Kawasaki Frontale — Team-Based Signals
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
4-0
HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
3-1
HT 3-0
Kawasaki Frontale
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Actual Match Statistics
Sagan Tosu cruised past Kawasaki Frontale 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sagan Tosu had 40% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 60%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.75 to 2.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.33 for Kawasaki Frontale.
What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 32%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.