Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.92
2-3 Goals
42%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.34
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
9%
8.7
X/X
8%
5.97
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.97/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.52
+35% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
439 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.12.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.05.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
14.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.05.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
21.08.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.80 xG 3.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 14
324 Passes 213
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 58% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 42%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 0.80 to 3.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kyoto Sanga's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 50%, draw 22%, Kyoto Sanga 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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