Kelty Hearts 0-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.76
-31% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
15.03.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
11.01.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.03.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.03.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Kelty Hearts 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 0.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Kelty Hearts 0-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 24%, draw 26%, Stenhousemuir 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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