West Bromwich vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
West Bromwich v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
West Bromwich vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
West Bromwich 0-1 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County nicked a narrow win over West Bromwich 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had West Bromwich at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in West Bromwich's favour, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.15 to 0.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured West Bromwich.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for West Bromwich against 1.33 for Derby County.
West Bromwich vs Derby County Result & Final Score
West Bromwich 0 - 1 Derby County in the England - Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
West Bromwich vs Derby County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 55%, draw 27%, Derby County 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.