West Bromwich vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
West Bromwich v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
West Bromwich vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
West Bromwich 1-1 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
West Bromwich and Derby County finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our model won't enjoy this one — West Bromwich at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, West Bromwich had 55% of the ball to Derby County's 45%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.25 to 0.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for West Bromwich and 1.17 for Derby County.
West Bromwich vs Derby County Result & Final Score
West Bromwich 1 - 1 Derby County in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
West Bromwich vs Derby County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 55%, draw 25%, Derby County 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No went the other way.