Örebro 2-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 31% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
16%
5.56
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
8%
24.95
2/2
17%
3.87
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
02.08.2024 Örebro Örebro 4-1 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
05.05.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.10.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-3 HT 3-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
09.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
10.09.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
2-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro beat Östersunds FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Örebro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Örebro had 56% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 44%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Örebro and 1.83 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Östersunds FK?

Örebro 2-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örebro 39%, draw 26%, Östersunds FK 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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