IF Karlstad 1-0 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.17/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.63
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-3 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
09.11.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-4 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
08.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-0
AWAY Karlbergs BK
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad nicked a narrow win over Karlbergs BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 55% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 45%, shots finished 6-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.67 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

IF Karlstad 1-0 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 56%, draw 22%, Karlbergs BK 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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