Utebo vs Gernika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utebo v Gernika — Team-Based Signals
Utebo vs Gernika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Gernika
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Gernika
İS4
0-2
HT 0-0
Utebo
İS4
Utebo 3-1 Gernika — Actual Match Statistics
Utebo got the better of Gernika 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Utebo had 56% of the ball to Gernika's 44%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utebo and 0.50 for Gernika.
What was the final score of Utebo vs Gernika?
Utebo 3-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utebo vs Gernika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Utebo 53%, draw 27%, Gernika 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.