HB Koge vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HB Koge v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals
HB Koge vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
AC Horsens
DAN1
2-0
HT 2-0
HB Koge
DAN1
HB Koge 1-0 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics
HB Koge squeezed past AC Horsens 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AC Horsens at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, HB Koge had 37% of the ball to AC Horsens's 63%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.95 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HB Koge and 1.50 for AC Horsens.
What was the final score of HB Koge vs AC Horsens?
HB Koge 1-0 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HB Koge vs AC Horsens?
Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 16%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.