Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+1.4pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.7pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.72
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
19.5 Crosses 11.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
425 Passes 218
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
30.08.2024 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3-1
AWAY Cuniburo FC
3.03 xG 1.56
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 0
543 Passes 161
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Box Touches 9
54 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle got the better of Cuniburo FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 75% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 25%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.03 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.00 for Cuniburo FC.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Cuniburo FC?

Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 72%, draw 17%, Cuniburo FC 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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