Libertad 0-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Sep 2025

Libertad
0-1 HT 0-1
LDU Quito
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Libertad vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Libertad v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
+25% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.5 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Libertad vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.10 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
228 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.08.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
01.05.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-3 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
12.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.06.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-2 HT 1-2 Libertad Libertad EKV1
18.11.2011 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito CON CSA

Libertad 0-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.12 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Libertad 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Libertad had 47% of the ball to LDU Quito's 53%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.12 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 2.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Libertad vs LDU Quito?

Libertad 0-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Libertad 32%, draw 22%, LDU Quito 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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