Airbus UK 4-0 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
32%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
80%
-5.0pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.5pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.56/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.50
+25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
458 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airbus UK
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Caersws
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.04.2025 Caersws Caersws 2-3 HT 1-3 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
21.12.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 5-0 HT 2-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
13.01.2024 Caersws Caersws 3-3 HT 2-1 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
21.10.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-3 HT 1-2 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Airbus UK vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK cruised past Caersws 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Airbus UK had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Airbus UK and 2.00 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Airbus UK vs Caersws?

Airbus UK 4-0 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airbus UK vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Airbus UK 75%, draw 17%, Caersws 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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