Holywell 8-4 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
78%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
13%
+2.7pp
7%
Away Win
9%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.73/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.38
-7% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
05.04.2025 Holywell Holywell 0-0 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
07.02.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.01.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.01.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-5 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
21.01.2023 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.09.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell swept aside Gresford Athletic 8-4. Half-time: 7-1. 12 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 8-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Holywell and 0.83 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Gresford Athletic?

Holywell 8-4 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Holywell 77%, draw 16%, Gresford Athletic 7%. The final score 8-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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