Holywell 0-0 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
2.40/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.20
+4% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
07.02.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.01.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.01.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-5 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
21.01.2023 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.09.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.03.2022 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 4-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell and Gresford Athletic played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holywell at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Holywell and 0.83 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Gresford Athletic?

Holywell 0-0 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Holywell 63%, draw 20%, Gresford Athletic 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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