Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baglan Dragons v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Baglan Dragons
GALFAW
Baglan Dragons and Carmarthen Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Baglan Dragons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.67 for Carmarthen Town.
What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Baglan Dragons 1-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 44%, draw 21%, Carmarthen Town 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baglan Dragons) went the other way.