Bangor 1876 1-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+4.5pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.44/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.32
-23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor 1876
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
16.11.2024 Caersws Caersws 2-1 HT 0-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALWK
26.10.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
10.02.2024 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 2-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws squeezed past Bangor 1876 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor 1876 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bangor 1876 and 0.67 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Caersws?

Bangor 1876 1-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 50%, draw 17%, Caersws 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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