Twente 2-2 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Sep 2025

Twente
2-2 HT 0-1
NAC Breda
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Twente vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
23%
4.02
X/2
6%
11.7
X/X
11%
6.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.0
2/2
6%
9.37
2/X
5%
17.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.99/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.17
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.0 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Twente vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.01.2025 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-1 HT 2-0 Twente Twente HOL
29.09.2024 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
06.05.2018 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
12.12.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
28.02.2015 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
24.08.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL

Twente 2-2 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-2
AWAY NAC Breda
2.21 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 186
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and NAC Breda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Twente at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Twente had 60% of the ball to NAC Breda's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.21 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Twente and 1.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Twente vs NAC Breda?

Twente 2-2 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Twente 62%, draw 20%, NAC Breda 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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