Twente 1-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Sep 2024

Twente
1-0 HT 0-0
NAC Breda
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Twente vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
16%
3.4
X/2
4%
19.7
X/X
10%
8.25
2/1
12%
21.85
2/2
5%
15.2
2/X
7%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -14%
2.31/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.33
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.3 Crosses 11.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Twente vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-3D-0L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
333 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2018 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
12.12.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
28.02.2015 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
24.08.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
05.04.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-2 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
24.11.2013 Twente Twente 5-2 HT 2-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL

Twente 1-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-0
AWAY NAC Breda
2.21 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
418 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente edged past NAC Breda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 59% of the ball to NAC Breda's 41%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Twente's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Twente and 1.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Twente vs NAC Breda?

Twente 1-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Twente 64%, draw 22%, NAC Breda 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5
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