RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.24
2-3 Goals
39%
2.1
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.52
1/2
7%
19.1
1/X
7%
17.7
X/1
10%
14.2
X/2
11%
3.85
X/X
7%
7.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.67
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 70%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.09/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.28
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.2
18.1 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ajax
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.26 xG 2.80
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
222 Passes 573
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 50
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Ajax Ajax 4-1 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.12.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
30.09.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
12.02.2023 Ajax Ajax 3-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
22.10.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-4 HT 1-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
06.03.2022 Ajax Ajax 3-2 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0-2
AWAY Ajax
0.05 xG 1.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
204 Passes 605
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 52
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax got the better of RKC Waalwijk 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 30% of the ball to Ajax's 70%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.05 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 3.33 for Ajax.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax?

RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 26%, draw 22%, Ajax 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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