PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.53
X/2
10%
7.68
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.64/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.45
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +124%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.2 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Almere City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
359 Passes 203
75% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
02.09.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
21.04.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
06.01.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
18.07.2017 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-0 HT 3-0 Almere City Almere City HAZ
20.01.2012 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-2 HT 1-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-0
AWAY Almere City
1.18 xG 1.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
461 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle nicked a narrow win over Almere City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PEC Zwolle as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 60% of the ball to Almere City's 40%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.18 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.17 for Almere City.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Almere City?

PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 51%, draw 24%, Almere City 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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