NAC Breda 2-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Jan 2025

NAC Breda
2-1 HT 2-0
Twente
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NAC Breda vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.51
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
14%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.42
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
9%
9.54
X/2
12%
4.4
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.22
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+12.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
39%
Away Win
54%
-14.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.14
-10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
14.1 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

NAC Breda vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Twente
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
06.05.2018 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
12.12.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
28.02.2015 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
24.08.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
05.04.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-2 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL

NAC Breda 2-1 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
2-1
AWAY Twente
1.10 xG 1.81
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
180 Passes 467
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda edged past Twente 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; NAC Breda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, NAC Breda had 33% of the ball to Twente's 67%, shots finished 11-26, expected goals 1.10 to 1.81 — on chances, Twente could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NAC Breda and 1.33 for Twente.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Twente?

NAC Breda 2-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 34%, draw 27%, Twente 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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