NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOK
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen cruised past Fortuna Sittard 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 47% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.00 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 47%, draw 32%, Fortuna Sittard 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.