Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
7%
13.45
X/X
11%
6.54
2/1
11%
21.0
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
6%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.51/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.99
-29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
25.5 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-3D-0L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
27.01.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.10.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
05.08.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
24.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
02.10.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.36 xG 2.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
310 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and RKC Waalwijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 50% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 50%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 1.36 to 2.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.67 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 52%, draw 27%, RKC Waalwijk 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ BTTS No
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