Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Sep 2025

Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0 HT 1-0
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Giravanz Kitakyushu v ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.81
-12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.1 Crosses 30.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.8

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
4W-2D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
184 Passes 527
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
03.10.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
28.03.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
10.10.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
09.08.2020 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
14.11.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
35% Ball Possession 65%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
230 Passes 471
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu edged past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Giravanz Kitakyushu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 35% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 65%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 0.67 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 38%, draw 25%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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