Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.3pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.73
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
24.11.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 4-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
22.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
16.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-4 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.10.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2-0
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
211 Passes 375
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga saw off Azul Claro Numazu 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 41% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.33 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 47%, draw 25%, Azul Claro Numazu 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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