Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -25%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.57
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
229 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
21.09.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
10.04.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
12.11.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-3 HT 2-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
06.11.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
191 Passes 356
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Gainare Tottori couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 39% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 61%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 2.00 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 30%, Gainare Tottori 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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