Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.18/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.78
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
12.11.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-3 HT 2-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
06.11.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
16.07.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
31.10.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 3-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori got the better of Parceiro Nagano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gainare Tottori found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 62% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 38%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.67 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano?

Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 39%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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