Ryukyu 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.55/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.30
+14% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
30.07.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
03.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 3-0 HT 3-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Ryukyu had 49% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 51%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ryukyu and 2.00 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Ryukyu 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 36%, draw 27%, Azul Claro Numazu 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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