Sagamihara 2-0 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.11/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.85
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Imabari
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Imabari Imabari 2-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
05.11.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-3 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
22.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
08.10.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-2 HT 0-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
12.06.2022 Imabari Imabari 1-3 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
20.12.2020 Imabari Imabari 1-2 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
2-0
AWAY Imabari
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
261 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara got the better of Imabari 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 43% of the ball to Imabari's 57%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sagamihara and 1.17 for Imabari.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Imabari?

Sagamihara 2-0 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 26%, draw 28%, Imabari 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Imabari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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