Vanraure Hachinohe 2-3 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.66
-9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +78%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
24.02.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 4-1 HT 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe
2-3
AWAY Omiya Ardija
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 6
187 Passes 392
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vanraure Hachinohe vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija squeezed past Vanraure Hachinohe 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanraure Hachinohe had 38% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 62%, shots finished 7-19.

What was the final score of Vanraure Hachinohe vs Omiya Ardija?

Vanraure Hachinohe 2-3 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanraure Hachinohe vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanraure Hachinohe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vanraure Hachinohe 36%, draw 30%, Omiya Ardija 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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