Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.28/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.07
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Okzhetpes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
31.05.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 3-2 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
01.10.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 0-2 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
15.03.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
17.10.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar got the better of Okzhetpes 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kyzyl-Zhar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Okzhetpes led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.75 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Okzhetpes?

Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 41%, draw 30%, Okzhetpes 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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