Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.95
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhenys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.05.2025 Zhenys 2-2 HT 2-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
26.10.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-2 Zhenys KAZP
23.06.2024 Zhenys 1-3 HT 1-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent squeezed past Zhenys 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Ordabasy Shymkent made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.67 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 38%, draw 31%, Zhenys 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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